Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 4.670379 5.315204 6.025179 6.866273 7.837306 8.925265 10.239537
2025-04-13 3.727732 4.548141 5.522283 6.769285 8.330385 10.229426 12.728750
2025-04-20 3.274005 4.205864 5.376361 6.964857 9.080200 11.822160 15.681131
2025-04-27 2.935950 3.932199 5.242102 7.107065 9.720899 13.293672 18.615038
2025-05-04 2.715379 3.770783 5.214829 7.359145 10.503646 15.010129 22.073578
2025-05-11 2.408314 3.447540 4.917955 7.180791 10.629870 15.778275 24.213072
2025-05-18 2.178289 3.205399 4.703711 7.086086 10.848951 16.681729 26.640971
2025-05-25 1.988803 3.001258 4.520108 7.009018 11.072035 17.595617 29.175173
2025-06-01 1.816307 2.804747 4.326047 6.889054 11.202668 18.358929 31.531384
2025-06-08 1.660474 2.619034 4.129655 6.740975 11.262686 18.997617 33.731110
2025-06-15 1.608734 2.594388 4.186765 7.015118 12.062497 20.983133 38.610255
2025-06-22 1.521442 2.502898 4.124242 7.075385 12.487698 22.341901 42.479502
2025-06-29 1.421687 2.383732 4.007365 7.033156 12.730915 23.408862 45.958826
2025-07-06 1.326056 2.263752 3.878679 6.956474 12.900233 24.352190 49.315741
2025-07-13 1.283062 2.232171 3.902009 7.160805 13.624992 26.453354 55.384805
2025-07-20 1.234915 2.187034 3.896258 7.307742 14.249611 28.420999 61.444364
2025-07-27 1.205646 2.173688 3.947034 7.567664 15.127905 31.012063 69.286935
2025-08-03 1.121460 2.051306 3.782830 7.383794 15.063045 31.581814 72.498236
2025-08-10 1.055064 1.957793 3.666519 7.286162 15.170204 32.536815 76.770553
2025-08-17 0.996215 1.874542 3.563690 7.206715 15.307485 33.572102 81.391310
2025-08-24 0.937151 1.786683 3.445087 7.083053 15.332767 34.350219 85.468090
2025-08-31 0.879629 1.697954 3.318246 6.930416 15.276159 34.927278 89.100679
2025-09-07 0.869928 1.704940 3.387284 7.213003 16.258495 38.124464 100.331818